Posts made by aaronbaldwin611
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MICHIGAN - FireKeepers iCasino [Bet $5 and get $100 in Free Bets]
I was able to complete this offer but I believe this is only available if you live in Michigan.
Link to sportsbook: https://icasino.firekeeperscasino.com/sports/
Link to promotion page: https://icasino.firekeeperscasino.com/promotions/newmember-sb/
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RE: January 2024 Profits
I made $2748.53 in January 💰💰 mostly thanks to the welcome offers.
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RE: [January 24] Fanduel • 50% Live Profit Boost NBA
My max wager is $10, does this usually vary per user? @carlos
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RE: Fan Duel not working on Dutcher
@Claudio-NinjaBet Sure, I did check this and saw nothing. But I understand, I'm not trying to cry wolf. It seems like it happens around the same time ~12:00pm est if that helps at all. I believe yesterday it was having issues for at least an hour.
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RE: Fan Duel not working on Dutcher
@carlos Fanduel is only pulling Soccer data currently. I have been noticing problems with this bookmaker in the Dutcher recently as well.
https://www.ninjabet.com/dutcher?sport=all&book1=Fanduel&bet-amount=100
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RE: SI Sportsbook [$100 Deposit Match + $0.50 Bonus Spins x 25]
@carlos I just assumed here that I would have to place 4x $25 bets on different games. But I guess I'm not seeing that anywhere in the offer details. Thanks for the insight.
Kinda messed up but not in a way that would put me in the red. I've been losing all of the bets on SI sportsbook, so that's actually been useful as now I can withdraw it on another site. :face_with_tears_of_joy:
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RE: MICHIGAN - Eagle Casino & Sports [$1,000 Refund]
@carlos Thanks for this, that's what I assumed but great to hear that your thoughts are the same. I've noticed 65% is a more common ratio to find on bets from more popular games, and I've been using that instead of 70%.
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RE: Same Game Parlay Guaranteed Profit? (New Tool Suggestion)
Gotcha. Thank for for the detailed response, I appreciate it :folded_hands:
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RE: Welcome Draftkings • Bet 5$ Get 6x25$
@blsurf89 You may have selected "Bonus Bet" on the calculator when this should have been a "Free Bet". I agree with you, it doesn't seem like that math adds up correctly, so it's likely something is not set up correctly with the tool.
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RE: MICHIGAN - Eagle Casino & Sports [$1,000 Refund]
@carlos Thank you, I've already done this. But I appreciate the help. Just posting here in case anyone wants to take advantage.
Also whats the reason refund is 70%? And not let's say 65%?
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Same Game Parlay Guaranteed Profit? (New Tool Suggestion)
$100 Bonus Bet for Placing $100 in Same Game Parlay's. From your experience, is this a common or uncommon offer from bookmakers? @carlos As this would affect the benefit of my suggested tool designed for this purpose.
From what I've seen, it's very difficult to profit from Same Game Parlay bonuses. But I've done the math to calculate whether I could make Guaranteed profit through a $100 Matched Bonus Bet on any SGP bets. And through my calculations, it seems like this is entirely possible to profit from. (these are initial profit numbers in which I did no further research to find the most optimal odds)
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/13JSnv-6zmxsGfYpK9r3uJfMl5Piz8h80etV9pKX10Fw/edit?usp=sharing (link to view sheet)Looking for any feedback here, as I want to ensure that I'm not missing any important details that would result in a profit loss. However, I think that if this is a common offer, a tool could be created to find the best odds across all sites.
If the offer requires only 2 legs to the parlay, it's possible to create 3 bets in which 1 bet will always win. If this data can be pulled from each bookmaker, I would suggest a tool that compares the following data:
- Under Bet
- Over Bet
- Team A Win
- Team B Win
- Under + Team A Win Parlay
- Under + Team B Win Parlay
- Over + Team A Win Parlay
- Over + Team B Win Parlay
Using the possible bet combinations: (Parlay Bet Required for Promotion Bookmaker)
- Under + Team A Win | Under + Team B Win | Over
- Over + Team A Win | Over + Team B Win | Under
- Team A Win + Under | Team A Win + Over | Team B Win
- Team B Win + Under | Team B Win + Over | Team A Win
My initial thoughts for why this wouldn't be that useful:
- If the offer requires 3+ legs on the SGP
- If the offer requires high minimum odds
- If an offer only rewards the bonus bet when the SGP is lost
- If we're unable to pull parlay odds data from sites.
More Offer Details for Context:
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MICHIGAN - Eagle Casino & Sports [$1,000 Refund]
Some Important Notes:
- Initial wager minimum odds: -250
- Patrons outside Michigan are not eligible for this promotion.
- The offer is only available to participants who are new users and have not made a deposit previously. Participants who make a minimum deposit of $10 or more to Eagle Casino & Sports Online and whose first real money sports wager is a losing bet will be eligible for the Free Bet.
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RE: Credit cards
From knowing nothing about sports betting before ninjabet, this was something I wasn't aware of either. Luckily I did some research before I wa[censored] with any fees from any cards.
My DIscover it card has worked great for me. No fees that I have seen, and looks like I've got ~$60 in 1% cash back from everything so far. Have a referral link as well that will give $100, however I know that is against the forum rules. So not posting that unless @carlos gives the okay!UPDATE: Discover Card no longer works for this. Gaming transactions are considered a Cash Advance which incurs a $10 fee.
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RE: Welcome BetMGM • 100% Refund Up to $1,500
@carlos Seems like this offer is no longer valid. https://www.ninjabet.com/welcome-betmgm-2
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RE: Guide 4 • Refund Strategy
@carlos Makes sense, thanks for the reply! I initially misunderstood that the first $500 bet technically isn't risk free, since you receive only the winnings from the 2nd bet if you lose the first one. (after losing if you bet $500 with the free bet on a +125, I only profit $125 after -$500 from the initial investment, and that's not counting the loss from the second back bet) I managed to adjust the bet I made so now I'm not losing money, but only have a chance at making anything if the initial bet wins. Definitely some oversight from me and pulled the trigger too quick 😅 but all good now.